Posts by Craig Helmstetter
Who voted in Georgia’s runoff elections?

Georgia’s voters handed control of the U.S. Senate to Democrats on Jan. 5 by flipping its two Senate seats in the runoff elections. The runoff election results are historic and bear significant implications for what a Biden administration can achieve. So, who among Georgia’s electorate turned out to vote on Jan. 5 to deliver such significant wins?

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Craig Helmstetter
6 good news trends from 2020

Between a global pandemic, racial unrest, natural disasters and a contested election, 2020 has, in many ways, been a dismal year. However, some good things did come out of this year. During this season of thankfulness and gratitude, we at the APM Research Lab thought we would highlight some bright spots of 2020.

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Craig Helmstetter
2020 presidential political polls: a preliminary postmortem

How did the 2020 Presidential political polls do in estimating votes for Biden and Trump? Here's an preliminary analysis of what went wrong and right with polls. Most polls accurately reflected the outcomes, even if the margin between the candidates was over-estimated. Polling in some states was better than in others. The polls generally did a better job estimating support for Biden than Trump.

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Farmers have an edge on the rest of us when it comes to water knowledge, but they still have blind spots

Water is essential for almost every dimension of farming and raising livestock, from determining when to plant and harvest to irrigating and fertilizing crops throughout the growing season. So it’s not surprising that farmers are often more knowledgeable and action-oriented when it comes to water resources than the broader public, according to two national surveys.

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Craig Helmstetter
What grown-ups think children should learn: Identifying false information, mental health, the economy, and water protection

More than 90% American adults say it is important that children learn how to identify false information on the internet, including 79% who say it is “very important.” Similarly strong majorities indicate that children should learn about mental health, how the U.S. economy works, and how to protect water resources.

These are the results of a nationally representative survey we recently did with the Water Main called, Water + Us: How we think, feel, and take action on water.

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Craig Helmstetter
Happy, factful, new year!

In the last 20 years, has the proportion of the world population that is living in extreme poverty (a) almost doubled, (b) remained more or less the same, or (c) almost halved? This is one of the questions in a brief quiz that opens Factfulness, a best-selling book authored by perhaps the most enthusiastic and engaging apostle of data to ever grace a TED talk stage. I have long been a fan of Hans Rosling’s presentations, so I thought a review the book he left us prior to recently passing away would be a good way to start the year.

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Craig Helmstetter